Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European modeling centers currently center the daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 17 near 15–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light winds that sharply limit surface heating and incoming solar radiation. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 16 °C at 49.5 % implied probability, followed by 15 °C at 35.5 %, while the modest 11 % on 17 °C reflects the slim chance of brief afternoon clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 17–19 °C, so the current outlook sits slightly below the seasonal baseline. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs plus any rapid changes in cloud thickness overnight before the market resolves on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 17 de maio?
16°C 55%
15°C 31%
17°C 10%
14°C 4.5%
NOVO
$50,376 Vol.
NOVO
$50,376 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
31%
16°C
55%
17°C
10%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 55%
15°C 31%
17°C 10%
14°C 4.5%
NOVO
$50,376 Vol.
NOVO
$50,376 Vol.
17 mai 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,708 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,885 Vol.
1%
14°C
$7,158 Vol.
5%
15°C
$6,036 Vol.
31%
16°C
$6,921 Vol.
55%
17°C
$5,357 Vol.
10%
18°C
$4,922 Vol.
1%
19°C
$7,432 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$3,542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European modeling centers currently center the daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 17 near 15–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light winds that sharply limit surface heating and incoming solar radiation. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 16 °C at 49.5 % implied probability, followed by 15 °C at 35.5 %, while the modest 11 % on 17 °C reflects the slim chance of brief afternoon clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 17–19 °C, so the current outlook sits slightly below the seasonal baseline. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs plus any rapid changes in cloud thickness overnight before the market resolves on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$50,376Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European modeling centers currently center the daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 17 near 15–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light winds that sharply limit surface heating and incoming solar radiation. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 16 °C at 49.5 % implied probability, followed by 15 °C at 35.5 %, while the modest 11 % on 17 °C reflects the slim chance of brief afternoon clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 17–19 °C, so the current outlook sits slightly below the seasonal baseline. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs plus any rapid changes in cloud thickness overnight before the market resolves on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,376Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBEnsemble forecasts from Météo-France and European modeling centers currently center the daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 17 near 15–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light winds that sharply limit surface heating and incoming solar radiation. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 16 °C at 49.5 % implied probability, followed by 15 °C at 35.5 %, while the modest 11 % on 17 °C reflects the slim chance of brief afternoon clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 17–19 °C, so the current outlook sits slightly below the seasonal baseline. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs plus any rapid changes in cloud thickness overnight before the market resolves on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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