Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance has converged on a precise 24 °C daytime maximum for Seoul on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence, clear skies, and only modest southerly warm-air advection. This setup aligns with the historical May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 22–24 °C, and current ensemble model consensus shows minimal spread around that value. The market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C therefore reflects traders’ confidence in the official forecast and the absence of significant boundary-layer warming mechanisms. Only an unanticipated strengthening of the urban heat-island effect or a late revision in the final observational data could realistically shift the outcome toward 25 °C or higher before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
24°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$328,286 Vol.
$328,286 Vol.
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
No
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$328,286 Vol.
$328,286 Vol.
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
No
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance has converged on a precise 24 °C daytime maximum for Seoul on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence, clear skies, and only modest southerly warm-air advection. This setup aligns with the historical May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 22–24 °C, and current ensemble model consensus shows minimal spread around that value. The market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C therefore reflects traders’ confidence in the official forecast and the absence of significant boundary-layer warming mechanisms. Only an unanticipated strengthening of the urban heat-island effect or a late revision in the final observational data could realistically shift the outcome toward 25 °C or higher before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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