Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 17 maximum temperature in a narrow 26–27 °C band, with the market assigning 41.5 % probability to 26 °C and 33.5 % to 27 °C. Mid-May climatological normals at the Xujiahui station average 23–25 °C, but persistent southerly flow and the city’s urban heat-island effect are elevating readings by 2–3 °C. Model spread remains modest, with most members clustered near 26 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds; any increase in afternoon insolation or reduced boundary-layer mixing could push the peak to 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading outcomes most heavily, while lower-probability bins below 25 °C or above 28 °C reflect only slim chances of significant model deviation before resolution on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 17 de maio?
26°C 42%
27°C 34%
28°C 14%
25°C 12%
NOVO
$27,418 Vol.
NOVO
$27,418 Vol.
17 mai 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
42%
27°C
34%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 34%
28°C 14%
25°C 12%
NOVO
$27,418 Vol.
NOVO
$27,418 Vol.
17 mai 2026
21°C ou menos
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,651 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,819 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,150 Vol.
12%
26°C
$2,318 Vol.
42%
27°C
$2,050 Vol.
34%
28°C
$1,670 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,829 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,211 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$2,395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 17 maximum temperature in a narrow 26–27 °C band, with the market assigning 41.5 % probability to 26 °C and 33.5 % to 27 °C. Mid-May climatological normals at the Xujiahui station average 23–25 °C, but persistent southerly flow and the city’s urban heat-island effect are elevating readings by 2–3 °C. Model spread remains modest, with most members clustered near 26 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds; any increase in afternoon insolation or reduced boundary-layer mixing could push the peak to 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading outcomes most heavily, while lower-probability bins below 25 °C or above 28 °C reflect only slim chances of significant model deviation before resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$27,418Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 17 maximum temperature in a narrow 26–27 °C band, with the market assigning 41.5 % probability to 26 °C and 33.5 % to 27 °C. Mid-May climatological normals at the Xujiahui station average 23–25 °C, but persistent southerly flow and the city’s urban heat-island effect are elevating readings by 2–3 °C. Model spread remains modest, with most members clustered near 26 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds; any increase in afternoon insolation or reduced boundary-layer mixing could push the peak to 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading outcomes most heavily, while lower-probability bins below 25 °C or above 28 °C reflect only slim chances of significant model deviation before resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,418Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Shanghai’s May 17 maximum temperature in a narrow 26–27 °C band, with the market assigning 41.5 % probability to 26 °C and 33.5 % to 27 °C. Mid-May climatological normals at the Xujiahui station average 23–25 °C, but persistent southerly flow and the city’s urban heat-island effect are elevating readings by 2–3 °C. Model spread remains modest, with most members clustered near 26 °C under partly cloudy skies and light winds; any increase in afternoon insolation or reduced boundary-layer mixing could push the peak to 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading outcomes most heavily, while lower-probability bins below 25 °C or above 28 °C reflect only slim chances of significant model deviation before resolution on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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