Stable high-pressure conditions and moderate westerly winds across the eastern Mediterranean limited daytime heating over Tel Aviv on May 16, producing an observed maximum temperature of 24 °C according to Israel Meteorological Service records. This outcome aligns with spring climatology for the region, where typical May highs range 25–28 °C but cooler maritime air and reduced insolation suppressed the peak. Trader consensus at 100 % for 24 °C reflects verified observational data rather than model projections. A realistic challenge would require an undetected microclimate spike at the official measurement site or a post-event revision in station reporting, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency of real-time monitoring networks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,704 Vol.
$38,704 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,704 Vol.
$38,704 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Stable high-pressure conditions and moderate westerly winds across the eastern Mediterranean limited daytime heating over Tel Aviv on May 16, producing an observed maximum temperature of 24 °C according to Israel Meteorological Service records. This outcome aligns with spring climatology for the region, where typical May highs range 25–28 °C but cooler maritime air and reduced insolation suppressed the peak. Trader consensus at 100 % for 24 °C reflects verified observational data rather than model projections. A realistic challenge would require an undetected microclimate spike at the official measurement site or a post-event revision in station reporting, both of which remain statistically improbable given the consistency of real-time monitoring networks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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