Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a June 15, 2026 memorandum of understanding establishing a 60-day ceasefire framework that explicitly schedules further talks on Iran’s nuclear program, enrichment levels, and highly enriched uranium stockpile. The agreement reaffirms Iran’s commitment not to produce or acquire nuclear weapons and includes language on freezing further enrichment or facility expansion pending a comprehensive deal. With the 60-day window extending into mid-August, July 31 falls squarely inside the active negotiation period, allowing traders to price in a realistic but not assured prospect of a specific enrichment cutoff by that date. Primary drivers of the 57.5 % “Yes” price are the official timeline, explicit freeze commitments, and ongoing diplomatic momentum, balanced against the fact that core enrichment terms remain subject to final agreement and could shift with late developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
$742,174 Vol.
$742,174 Vol.
31 jul 2026
$742,174 Vol.
$742,174 Vol.
31 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a June 15, 2026 memorandum of understanding establishing a 60-day ceasefire framework that explicitly schedules further talks on Iran’s nuclear program, enrichment levels, and highly enriched uranium stockpile. The agreement reaffirms Iran’s commitment not to produce or acquire nuclear weapons and includes language on freezing further enrichment or facility expansion pending a comprehensive deal. With the 60-day window extending into mid-August, July 31 falls squarely inside the active negotiation period, allowing traders to price in a realistic but not assured prospect of a specific enrichment cutoff by that date. Primary drivers of the 57.5 % “Yes” price are the official timeline, explicit freeze commitments, and ongoing diplomatic momentum, balanced against the fact that core enrichment terms remain subject to final agreement and could shift with late developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$742,174Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a June 15, 2026 memorandum of understanding establishing a 60-day ceasefire framework that explicitly schedules further talks on Iran’s nuclear program, enrichment levels, and highly enriched uranium stockpile. The agreement reaffirms Iran’s commitment not to produce or acquire nuclear weapons and includes language on freezing further enrichment or facility expansion pending a comprehensive deal. With the 60-day window extending into mid-August, July 31 falls squarely inside the active negotiation period, allowing traders to price in a realistic but not assured prospect of a specific enrichment cutoff by that date. Primary drivers of the 57.5 % “Yes” price are the official timeline, explicit freeze commitments, and ongoing diplomatic momentum, balanced against the fact that core enrichment terms remain subject to final agreement and could shift with late developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$742,174Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a June 15, 2026 memorandum of understanding establishing a 60-day ceasefire framework that explicitly schedules further talks on Iran’s nuclear program, enrichment levels, and highly enriched uranium stockpile. The agreement reaffirms Iran’s commitment not to produce or acquire nuclear weapons and includes language on freezing further enrichment or facility expansion pending a comprehensive deal. With the 60-day window extending into mid-August, July 31 falls squarely inside the active negotiation period, allowing traders to price in a realistic but not assured prospect of a specific enrichment cutoff by that date. Primary drivers of the 57.5 % “Yes” price are the official timeline, explicit freeze commitments, and ongoing diplomatic momentum, balanced against the fact that core enrichment terms remain subject to final agreement and could shift with late developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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