The dominant market consensus at 23°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official overnight minimum forecast, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed northerly flow and limited radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate during mid-May, typical daily lows stabilize near 23–25°C as the East Asian monsoon transition maintains warm, humid boundary-layer air with minimal diurnal temperature range. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and recent numerical weather prediction runs showing stable conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover to alter the minimum. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-model shift toward stronger northerly winds or increased nocturnal cloudiness, though no such revisions materialized in final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 16 de maio?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,186 Vol.
$38,186 Vol.
16 mai 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,186 Vol.
$38,186 Vol.
16 mai 2026
18°C ou menos
$2,220 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,786 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,677 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,722 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,233 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,403 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,219 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou mais
$2,619 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus at 23°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official overnight minimum forecast, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed northerly flow and limited radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate during mid-May, typical daily lows stabilize near 23–25°C as the East Asian monsoon transition maintains warm, humid boundary-layer air with minimal diurnal temperature range. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and recent numerical weather prediction runs showing stable conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover to alter the minimum. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-model shift toward stronger northerly winds or increased nocturnal cloudiness, though no such revisions materialized in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$38,186Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus at 23°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official overnight minimum forecast, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed northerly flow and limited radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate during mid-May, typical daily lows stabilize near 23–25°C as the East Asian monsoon transition maintains warm, humid boundary-layer air with minimal diurnal temperature range. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and recent numerical weather prediction runs showing stable conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover to alter the minimum. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-model shift toward stronger northerly winds or increased nocturnal cloudiness, though no such revisions materialized in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,186Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe dominant market consensus at 23°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 16 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory’s official overnight minimum forecast, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed northerly flow and limited radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate during mid-May, typical daily lows stabilize near 23–25°C as the East Asian monsoon transition maintains warm, humid boundary-layer air with minimal diurnal temperature range. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines and recent numerical weather prediction runs showing stable conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover to alter the minimum. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-model shift toward stronger northerly winds or increased nocturnal cloudiness, though no such revisions materialized in final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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