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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de maio?

Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de maio?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de maio?

Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de maio?

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 18

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 18

18°C 30%

17°C 23%

19°C 12%

16°C 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

18°C 30%

17°C 23%

19°C 12%

16°C 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

13°C ou menos

$33 Vol.

1%

14°C

$117 Vol.

1%

15°C

$8 Vol.

6%

16°C

$6 Vol.

8%

17°C

$0 Vol.

23%

18°C

$0 Vol.

30%

19°C

$0 Vol.

12%

20°C

$5 Vol.

5%

21°C

$5 Vol.

4%

22°C

$63 Vol.

1%

23°C ou mais

$88 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (24.5%) and 19°C (23%) for Tokyo's lowest temperature on May 18, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which cluster overnight lows around 17-20°C amid a mild warming trend. Recent nights saw minima near 16-17°C under clearer skies, but anticipated southerly winds (10-14 mph) and high cloud cover on May 18 are expected to limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 26-28°C, potentially preserving shallower inversion layers. AccuWeather guidance points to 20°C, but JMA climatology for mid-May (average 16-18°C) and model spread differentiate the leaders. Watch JMA's May 16 update for refined guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$324
Data de Término
18 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (24.5%) and 19°C (23%) for Tokyo's lowest temperature on May 18, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which cluster overnight lows around 17-20°C amid a mild warming trend. Recent nights saw minima near 16-17°C under clearer skies, but anticipated southerly winds (10-14 mph) and high cloud cover on May 18 are expected to limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 26-28°C, potentially preserving shallower inversion layers. AccuWeather guidance points to 20°C, but JMA climatology for mid-May (average 16-18°C) and model spread differentiate the leaders. Watch JMA's May 16 update for refined guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$324
Data de Término
18 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "18°C" at 30%, followed by "17°C" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de maio?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de maio?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de maio?" is "18°C" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "17°C" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.