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Política·Canadá

Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto

icon for Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto
Política·Canadá

Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto

Olivia Chow 85%

Brad Bradford 15%

Marco Mendicino 1.0%

John Tory <1%

Polymarket

$131,380 Vol.

Olivia Chow 85%

Brad Bradford 15%

Marco Mendicino 1.0%

John Tory <1%

Polymarket

$131,380 Vol.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$31,609 Vol.

85%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$35,039 Vol.

15%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$15,119 Vol.

1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$10,533 Vol.

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$8,321 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$8,659 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$10,635 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$11,463 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Olivia Chow, the incumbent mayor seeking her first full term after the 2023 by-election victory, holds an 84.5% implied probability in the market. Recent polls from August 2026 show her support narrowing to around 47% against Brad Bradford at 40% and newcomer Chris Alexander at 10%, reflecting a tightening race ahead of the October 26 vote. Chow's campaign gained a high-profile co-chair in July with the appointment of a former federal Liberal strategist, while John Tory's decision not to run has consolidated the field. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency, established fundraising and organizational edges, and historical municipal re-election patterns more heavily than the latest survey fluctuations. Bradford remains the clearest alternative at 14.5%, with all other declared candidates below 1%.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$131,380
Data de Término
26 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Olivia Chow, the incumbent mayor seeking her first full term after the 2023 by-election victory, holds an 84.5% implied probability in the market. Recent polls from August 2026 show her support narrowing to around 47% against Brad Bradford at 40% and newcomer Chris Alexander at 10%, reflecting a tightening race ahead of the October 26 vote. Chow's campaign gained a high-profile co-chair in July with the appointment of a former federal Liberal strategist, while John Tory's decision not to run has consolidated the field. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency, established fundraising and organizational edges, and historical municipal re-election patterns more heavily than the latest survey fluctuations. Bradford remains the clearest alternative at 14.5%, with all other declared candidates below 1%.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$131,380
Data de Término
26 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olivia Chow" at 85%, followed by "Brad Bradford" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto" has generated $131.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto" is "Olivia Chow" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brad Bradford" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.