Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Name: Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?
Start: 2025-11-05T19:01:08.985Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

dez 31

$783,757 Vol.

31 dez 2026

Líbano

$67,286 Vol.

26%

Somalilândia

$86,309 Vol.

16%

Pakistan

$4,429 Vol.

15%

Kuwait

$48,875 Vol.

15%

Egypt

$69 Vol.

13%

Turkey

$590 Vol.

12%

Jordan

$2,450 Vol.

18%

Arábia Saudita

$184,063 Vol.

11%

Azerbaijão

$73,992 Vol.

10%

Qatar

$56 Vol.

16%

Síria

$149,829 Vol.

Omã

$165,808 Vol.

$783,757 Vol.

Líbano

$67,286 Vol.

26%

Somalilândia

$86,309 Vol.

16%

Pakistan

$4,429 Vol.

15%

Kuwait

$48,875 Vol.

15%

Egypt

$69 Vol.

13%

Turkey

$590 Vol.

12%

Jordan

$2,450 Vol.

18%

Arábia Saudita

$184,063 Vol.

11%

Azerbaijão

$73,992 Vol.

10%

Qatar

$56 Vol.

16%

Síria

$149,829 Vol.

Omã

$165,808 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Líbano" at 26%, followed by "Jordan" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" has generated $783.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is "Líbano" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jordan" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $783.8K traded on “Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 26¢ for "Líbano" in the "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 26% chance that "Líbano" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 26¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 74¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" market has an active community of 40 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Note on Middle East Markets

Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (40)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?"?

What are the current odds for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?"?

How will "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?"?

What does a price of 26¢ for "Líbano" mean?

When does the "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?"?

What is Polymarket?