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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana WY-AL

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana WY-AL
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana WY-AL

Chuck Gray 73%

Steve Friess 23%

Kevin Christensen 4.0%

Reid Rasner 2.6%

Polymarket

$66,621 Vol.

Chuck Gray 73%

Steve Friess 23%

Kevin Christensen 4.0%

Reid Rasner 2.6%

Polymarket

$66,621 Vol.

Chuck Gray

$18,130 Vol.

73%

Steve Friess

$31,112 Vol.

23%

Kevin Christensen

$4,521 Vol.

4%

Reid Rasner

$3,925 Vol.

3%

Bo Biteman

$1,695 Vol.

1%

David Giralt

$1,130 Vol.

<1%

Keith Goodenough

$521 Vol.

<1%

John Romero-Martinez

$891 Vol.

<1%

Richard Dodson

$2,168 Vol.

<1%

Jillian Balow

$929 Vol.

<1%

Frank Chapman

$1,599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chuck Gray, Wyoming's current Secretary of State, leads the Republican primary for the state's at-large U.S. House seat ahead of the August 18 vote, reflecting his statewide name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.6 million, and consistent polling leads of 20+ points in recent surveys. The open seat stems from incumbent Harriet Hageman's Senate bid, drawing a field that includes state Senate President Bo Biteman, businessman Steve Friess, Reid Rasner, and Kevin Christensen. A recent debate underscored divides on issues like election integrity and energy policy, with Gray positioning as the strongest conservative option. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these factors, though the multi-candidate primary leaves room for late shifts in turnout among Wyoming Republicans.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$66,621
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chuck Gray, Wyoming's current Secretary of State, leads the Republican primary for the state's at-large U.S. House seat ahead of the August 18 vote, reflecting his statewide name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.6 million, and consistent polling leads of 20+ points in recent surveys. The open seat stems from incumbent Harriet Hageman's Senate bid, drawing a field that includes state Senate President Bo Biteman, businessman Steve Friess, Reid Rasner, and Kevin Christensen. A recent debate underscored divides on issues like election integrity and energy policy, with Gray positioning as the strongest conservative option. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these factors, though the multi-candidate primary leaves room for late shifts in turnout among Wyoming Republicans.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$66,621
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana WY-AL" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chuck Gray" at 73%, followed by "Steve Friess" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana WY-AL" has generated $66.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana WY-AL," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana WY-AL" is "Chuck Gray" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Friess" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana WY-AL" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.