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icon for Выборы в Сенат Акко: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Акко: 2-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Акко: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Акко: 2-е место

Мара Роша 47%

Марсио Биттар 32.1%

Гладсон Камели 14%

Жорже Виана 4.3%

Polymarket

$44,542 Объем

Мара Роша 47%

Марсио Биттар 32.1%

Гладсон Камели 14%

Жорже Виана 4.3%

Polymarket

$44,542 Объем

icon for Мара Роша

Мара Роша

$17,613 Объем

47%

icon for Марсио Биттар

Марсио Биттар

$8,148 Объем

32%

icon for Гладсон Камели

Гладсон Камели

$13,335 Объем

14%

icon for Жорже Виана

Жорже Виана

$1,344 Объем

4%

icon for Петекао

Петекао

$1,871 Объем

1%

icon for Профессор Инасио Морейра

Профессор Инасио Морейра

$738 Объем

<1%

icon for доктор Жуниор Фейтоза

доктор Жуниор Фейтоза

$786 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдуардо Веллозо

Эдуардо Веллозо

$706 Объем

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$44,542
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$44,542
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Марсио Биттар больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат Акре в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Марсио Биттар больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат Акре в 2026 году?

49%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Капитан Альберто Нето второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Амазонаса 2026 года?

Выиграет ли Капитан Альберто Нето второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Амазонаса 2026 года?

72%
Да
icon for Получит ли Бия Кисиз второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

Получит ли Бия Кисиз второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

65%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Акко: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Мара Роша» с 47%, за ним следует «Марсио Биттар» с 32%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 47¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Выборы в Сенат Акко: 2-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $44.5K с момента запуска рынка Aug 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Акко: 2-е место», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Акко: 2-е место» — «Мара Роша» с 47%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Марсио Биттар» с 32%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Акко: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.