Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and a moderating southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs from global models show suppressed thermal profiles consistent with these conditions, placing the outcome well within historical May variability for similar synoptic setups. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model consensus, though minor upward revisions remain possible if rain bands clear earlier than projected or if localized urban heat-island effects push readings marginally higher at official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 17 мая?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,840 Объем
$141,840 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,840 Объем
$141,840 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum temperature of 19°C on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and a moderating southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs from global models show suppressed thermal profiles consistent with these conditions, placing the outcome well within historical May variability for similar synoptic setups. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model consensus, though minor upward revisions remain possible if rain bands clear earlier than projected or if localized urban heat-island effects push readings marginally higher at official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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