Traders assign the highest probability to a 24°C peak in Chongqing on May 18 because the latest ensemble forecasts from global models show daytime highs centered in the low-to-mid 20s under stable subtropical ridge conditions. Minor variations in wind flow across the Sichuan basin and urban heat retention create the narrow spread among the 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes. Official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration will determine the daily maximum, with any late-morning model adjustments potentially shifting implied probabilities before the observation window closes. Historical May averages near 25°C provide context, yet current guidance highlights typical short-term forecast uncertainty at this lead time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 18 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 18 мая?
24°C 28%
25°C 24%
23°C 20%
26°C 20%
НОВОЕ
$10,889 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,889 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
22%
24°C
28%
25°C
24%
26°C
20%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 28%
25°C 24%
23°C 20%
26°C 20%
НОВОЕ
$10,889 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,889 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
$580 Объем
<1%
20°C
$1,213 Объем
<1%
21°C
$4,202 Объем
<1%
22°C
$550 Объем
5%
23°C
$222 Объем
22%
24°C
$423 Объем
28%
25°C
$259 Объем
24%
26°C
$651 Объем
20%
27°C
$689 Объем
5%
28°C
$1,130 Объем
1%
29°C or higher
$972 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest probability to a 24°C peak in Chongqing on May 18 because the latest ensemble forecasts from global models show daytime highs centered in the low-to-mid 20s under stable subtropical ridge conditions. Minor variations in wind flow across the Sichuan basin and urban heat retention create the narrow spread among the 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes. Official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration will determine the daily maximum, with any late-morning model adjustments potentially shifting implied probabilities before the observation window closes. Historical May averages near 25°C provide context, yet current guidance highlights typical short-term forecast uncertainty at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$10,889Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest probability to a 24°C peak in Chongqing on May 18 because the latest ensemble forecasts from global models show daytime highs centered in the low-to-mid 20s under stable subtropical ridge conditions. Minor variations in wind flow across the Sichuan basin and urban heat retention create the narrow spread among the 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes. Official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration will determine the daily maximum, with any late-morning model adjustments potentially shifting implied probabilities before the observation window closes. Historical May averages near 25°C provide context, yet current guidance highlights typical short-term forecast uncertainty at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,889Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKTraders assign the highest probability to a 24°C peak in Chongqing on May 18 because the latest ensemble forecasts from global models show daytime highs centered in the low-to-mid 20s under stable subtropical ridge conditions. Minor variations in wind flow across the Sichuan basin and urban heat retention create the narrow spread among the 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C outcomes. Official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration will determine the daily maximum, with any late-morning model adjustments potentially shifting implied probabilities before the observation window closes. Historical May averages near 25°C provide context, yet current guidance highlights typical short-term forecast uncertainty at this lead time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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