Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for the Pearl River Delta converge on a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that promotes daytime heating amid moderate humidity levels. Scattered convective clouds typical of mid-May pre-monsoon conditions introduce uncertainty by potentially capping afternoon peaks, keeping the 28–30°C range closely contested in trader positioning. Historical May climatology at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport shows average highs around 29°C, with natural day-to-day variance from cloud timing and moisture intrusions explaining why single-degree outcomes remain finely balanced rather than decisively favoring any bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 18 мая?
29°C 32%
28°C 31%
30°C 21%
27°C 16%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C или выше
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 31%
30°C 21%
27°C 16%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for the Pearl River Delta converge on a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that promotes daytime heating amid moderate humidity levels. Scattered convective clouds typical of mid-May pre-monsoon conditions introduce uncertainty by potentially capping afternoon peaks, keeping the 28–30°C range closely contested in trader positioning. Historical May climatology at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport shows average highs around 29°C, with natural day-to-day variance from cloud timing and moisture intrusions explaining why single-degree outcomes remain finely balanced rather than decisively favoring any bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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