Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?

мая 15

мая 16

мая 17

мая 18

мая 15

мая 16

мая 17

мая 18

25°C 98.8%

21°C 2.5%

28°C 1.0%

27°C <1%

Polymarket

$303,967 Объем

25°C 98.8%

21°C 2.5%

28°C 1.0%

27°C <1%

Polymarket

$303,967 Объем

19°C or below

$20,114 Объем

<1%

20°C

$12,423 Объем

<1%

21°C

$12,291 Объем

3%

22°C

$6,633 Объем

<1%

23°C

$4,753 Объем

<1%

24°C

$37,336 Объем

<1%

25°C

$77,404 Объем

99%

26°C

$43,033 Объем

<1%

27°C

$39,653 Объем

1%

28°C

$25,280 Объем

1%

29°C or higher

$25,047 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16 amid typical early-May subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This verified reading from the agency’s primary surface station aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 98.5% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging near 28–29°C, yet localized cooling from recent frontal passages and cloud cover produced the lower peak. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though the final official data release leaves little room for deviation from the recorded value.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$303,967
Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16 amid typical early-May subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This verified reading from the agency’s primary surface station aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 98.5% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging near 28–29°C, yet localized cooling from recent frontal passages and cloud cover produced the lower peak. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically alter resolution, though the final official data release leaves little room for deviation from the recorded value.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$303,967
Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «25°C» с 99%, за ним следует «21°C» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $304K с момента запуска рынка May 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?» — «25°C» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «21°C» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.