Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system. Scattered showers combined with moderate westerly winds are suppressing daytime solar heating and increasing turbulent mixing that caps surface warming across southern England. These short-range model spreads remain typical for mid-May climatology, where historical daily highs average near 16 °C yet can vary by 1–2 °C depending on exact shower timing, cloud cover thickness, or wind direction shifts. The next official guidance updates will further narrow the range before observations are recorded at standard London stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?
15°C 40%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 7.0%
$39,622 Объем
$39,622 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
21%
15°C
40%
16°C
27%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 40%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 7.0%
$39,622 Объем
$39,622 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
21%
15°C
40%
16°C
27%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system. Scattered showers combined with moderate westerly winds are suppressing daytime solar heating and increasing turbulent mixing that caps surface warming across southern England. These short-range model spreads remain typical for mid-May climatology, where historical daily highs average near 16 °C yet can vary by 1–2 °C depending on exact shower timing, cloud cover thickness, or wind direction shifts. The next official guidance updates will further narrow the range before observations are recorded at standard London stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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