Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 15 мая?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F или ниже <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 Объем
$84,190 Объем
81°F или ниже
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
30–30,5°C
Нет
88-89°F
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92-93°F
Да
94-95°F
Нет
96-97°F
Нет
98-99°F
Нет
100°F или выше
Нет
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F или ниже <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 Объем
$84,190 Объем
81°F или ниже
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
30–30,5°C
Нет
88-89°F
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92-93°F
Да
94-95°F
Нет
96-97°F
Нет
98-99°F
Нет
100°F или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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