National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 32%
84–85°F 16%
90-91°F 6%
$16,938 Объем
$16,938 Объем
77°F или ниже
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84–85°F
16%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F или выше
<1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 32%
84–85°F 16%
90-91°F 6%
$16,938 Объем
$16,938 Объем
77°F или ниже
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84–85°F
16%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы