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icon for Самая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?

86-87°F 45%

88-89°F 32%

84–85°F 16%

90-91°F 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$16,938 Объем

86-87°F 45%

88-89°F 32%

84–85°F 16%

90-91°F 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$16,938 Объем

77°F или ниже

$786 Объем

<1%

78-79°F

$955 Объем

<1%

80-81°F

$661 Объем

<1%

82-83°F

$1,964 Объем

3%

84–85°F

$1,965 Объем

16%

86-87°F

$2,087 Объем

45%

88-89°F

$2,651 Объем

32%

90-91°F

$2,181 Объем

6%

92-93°F

$1,437 Объем

1%

94-95°F

$1,147 Объем

1%

96°F или выше

$1,112 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$16,938
Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$16,938
Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «86-87°F» с 45%, за ним следует «88-89°F» с 32%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 45¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $16.9K с момента запуска рынка May 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?» — «86-87°F» с 45%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Следующий ближайший исход — «88-89°F» с 32%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Майами 18 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.