Traders see nearly equal odds for an 86-87°F or 88-89°F high in New York City today because the latest National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs remain tightly clustered around those thresholds. A southerly flow of warmer, moderately humid air combined with strong May sunshine is driving surface heating, yet small differences in the timing of peak insolation and any late-day cloud build-up or sea-breeze effects can shift the maximum by a degree or two. With the daily high typically occurring between 2 and 4 p.m. local time and resolution based on official Central Park observations, the close market spread mirrors the narrow uncertainty range in current forecast outputs rather than any single dramatic shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 17 мая?
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 39%
90-91°F 14.7%
84-85°F 4.5%
$77,389 Объем
$77,389 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F или выше
<1%
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 39%
90-91°F 14.7%
84-85°F 4.5%
$77,389 Объем
$77,389 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
$9,591 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$11,995 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$8,260 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$8,179 Объем
5%
86-87°F
$7,857 Объем
39%
88-89°F
$5,937 Объем
45%
90-91°F
$7,931 Объем
15%
92-93°F
$6,199 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$4,719 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$4,086 Объем
<1%
98°F или выше
$3,141 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see nearly equal odds for an 86-87°F or 88-89°F high in New York City today because the latest National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs remain tightly clustered around those thresholds. A southerly flow of warmer, moderately humid air combined with strong May sunshine is driving surface heating, yet small differences in the timing of peak insolation and any late-day cloud build-up or sea-breeze effects can shift the maximum by a degree or two. With the daily high typically occurring between 2 and 4 p.m. local time and resolution based on official Central Park observations, the close market spread mirrors the narrow uncertainty range in current forecast outputs rather than any single dramatic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$77,389Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see nearly equal odds for an 86-87°F or 88-89°F high in New York City today because the latest National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs remain tightly clustered around those thresholds. A southerly flow of warmer, moderately humid air combined with strong May sunshine is driving surface heating, yet small differences in the timing of peak insolation and any late-day cloud build-up or sea-breeze effects can shift the maximum by a degree or two. With the daily high typically occurring between 2 and 4 p.m. local time and resolution based on official Central Park observations, the close market spread mirrors the narrow uncertainty range in current forecast outputs rather than any single dramatic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$77,389Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGATraders see nearly equal odds for an 86-87°F or 88-89°F high in New York City today because the latest National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs remain tightly clustered around those thresholds. A southerly flow of warmer, moderately humid air combined with strong May sunshine is driving surface heating, yet small differences in the timing of peak insolation and any late-day cloud build-up or sea-breeze effects can shift the maximum by a degree or two. With the daily high typically occurring between 2 and 4 p.m. local time and resolution based on official Central Park observations, the close market spread mirrors the narrow uncertainty range in current forecast outputs rather than any single dramatic shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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