National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently indicate peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport today under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation timing create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 70 % of trader-implied probability. This positioning aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region and the verification criteria tied to official observations, while the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects real-time assessment of ensemble uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 17 мая?
86-87°F 52%
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 9.5%
84-85°F 8%
$69,143 Объем
$69,143 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
52%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F или выше
<1%
86-87°F 52%
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 9.5%
84-85°F 8%
$69,143 Объем
$69,143 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
$9,591 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$7,187 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$7,952 Объем
1%
84-85°F
$7,721 Объем
8%
86-87°F
$7,252 Объем
52%
88-89°F
$5,340 Объем
36%
90-91°F
$7,196 Объем
10%
92-93°F
$5,856 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$4,439 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$4,083 Объем
<1%
98°F или выше
$3,141 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently indicate peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport today under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation timing create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 70 % of trader-implied probability. This positioning aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region and the verification criteria tied to official observations, while the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects real-time assessment of ensemble uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$69,143Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently indicate peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport today under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation timing create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 70 % of trader-implied probability. This positioning aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region and the verification criteria tied to official observations, while the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects real-time assessment of ensemble uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$69,143Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGANational Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently indicate peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport today under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation timing create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 70 % of trader-implied probability. This positioning aligns with typical late-spring climatology for the region and the verification criteria tied to official observations, while the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes reflects real-time assessment of ensemble uncertainty ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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