Recent ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF models point to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Paris on May 18, with 16°C emerging as the most probable outcome under a stable westerly flow of cool, maritime air. This aligns with the current market-implied odds favoring 15–17°C while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Springtime conditions in northern France typically feature variable Atlantic influences that limit rapid warming, and the absence of strong high pressure or southerly advection has kept recent afternoons in the 16–19°C range. Updated model runs and surface observations expected overnight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 18 мая?
16°C 39%
15°C 31%
17°C 27%
14°C 4%
$17,469 Объем
$17,469 Объем
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
31%
16°C
39%
17°C
27%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 39%
15°C 31%
17°C 27%
14°C 4%
$17,469 Объем
$17,469 Объем
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
31%
16°C
39%
17°C
27%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF models point to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Paris on May 18, with 16°C emerging as the most probable outcome under a stable westerly flow of cool, maritime air. This aligns with the current market-implied odds favoring 15–17°C while cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability outliers. Springtime conditions in northern France typically feature variable Atlantic influences that limit rapid warming, and the absence of strong high pressure or southerly advection has kept recent afternoons in the 16–19°C range. Updated model runs and surface observations expected overnight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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