Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. This setup has pushed the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100 percent, well above the mid-May climatological normal near 25°C under stable conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders monitor final updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any last shifts in wind or moisture that could alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with realistic challenges limited to unexpected frontal passage or model revisions in the final hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 17 мая?
27°C 100.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,270 Объем
$138,270 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,270 Объем
$138,270 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. This setup has pushed the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100 percent, well above the mid-May climatological normal near 25°C under stable conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders monitor final updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any last shifts in wind or moisture that could alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with realistic challenges limited to unexpected frontal passage or model revisions in the final hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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