Recent meteorological model consensus points to a high of 26–28°C in Shanghai on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading contracts at 27°C (34.5%) and 28°C (24.5%). Mid-May climatology shows average daily maxima near 24–25°C, but a strengthening southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to advect warmer, more humid air from the South China Sea, boosting temperatures several degrees above seasonal norms. Key variables include the timing and strength of this advection, cloud cover that could limit daytime heating, and any overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies. Official observations from Shanghai’s meteorological stations will resolve the market, with modest uncertainty persisting until the final 24-hour forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 18 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 18 мая?
27°C 35%
28°C 25%
26°C 22%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$21,817 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,817 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
22%
27°C
35%
28°C
25%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 35%
28°C 25%
26°C 22%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$21,817 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,817 Объем
18 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
$869 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,052 Объем
<1%
23°C
$3,688 Объем
1%
24°C
$2,818 Объем
1%
25°C
$2,497 Объем
9%
26°C
$2,494 Объем
22%
27°C
$1,425 Объем
35%
28°C
$1,346 Объем
25%
29°C
$2,312 Объем
7%
30°C
$2,140 Объем
1%
31°C or higher
$1,427 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus points to a high of 26–28°C in Shanghai on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading contracts at 27°C (34.5%) and 28°C (24.5%). Mid-May climatology shows average daily maxima near 24–25°C, but a strengthening southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to advect warmer, more humid air from the South China Sea, boosting temperatures several degrees above seasonal norms. Key variables include the timing and strength of this advection, cloud cover that could limit daytime heating, and any overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies. Official observations from Shanghai’s meteorological stations will resolve the market, with modest uncertainty persisting until the final 24-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$21,817Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus points to a high of 26–28°C in Shanghai on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading contracts at 27°C (34.5%) and 28°C (24.5%). Mid-May climatology shows average daily maxima near 24–25°C, but a strengthening southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to advect warmer, more humid air from the South China Sea, boosting temperatures several degrees above seasonal norms. Key variables include the timing and strength of this advection, cloud cover that could limit daytime heating, and any overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies. Official observations from Shanghai’s meteorological stations will resolve the market, with modest uncertainty persisting until the final 24-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,817Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDRecent meteorological model consensus points to a high of 26–28°C in Shanghai on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading contracts at 27°C (34.5%) and 28°C (24.5%). Mid-May climatology shows average daily maxima near 24–25°C, but a strengthening southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary is expected to advect warmer, more humid air from the South China Sea, boosting temperatures several degrees above seasonal norms. Key variables include the timing and strength of this advection, cloud cover that could limit daytime heating, and any overnight radiative cooling under clearer skies. Official observations from Shanghai’s meteorological stations will resolve the market, with modest uncertainty persisting until the final 24-hour forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы