The market's decisive 100% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum in Singapore on May 17 stems from official National Environment Agency forecasts projecting that exact peak under prevailing inter-monsoon conditions. May ranks as Singapore's warmest month climatologically, with historical average highs near 32°C driven by light winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Recent observations show maxima consistently between 32°C and 35°C, aligning with model consensus for today. Minor variations in cloud cover or thundery shower timing could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the final official measurement is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сингапуре 17 мая?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,721 Объем
$94,721 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,721 Объем
$94,721 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe market's decisive 100% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum in Singapore on May 17 stems from official National Environment Agency forecasts projecting that exact peak under prevailing inter-monsoon conditions. May ranks as Singapore's warmest month climatologically, with historical average highs near 32°C driven by light winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Recent observations show maxima consistently between 32°C and 35°C, aligning with model consensus for today. Minor variations in cloud cover or thundery shower timing could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the final official measurement is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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