Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional model ensembles point to a daytime maximum in Taipei of 31–32°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong solar heating. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat. Ensemble spread and afternoon convection potential create the tight contest between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while urban heat-island effects around the official Songshan station could nudge the recorded peak slightly higher. Traders are monitoring the final pre-dawn model runs and any last-minute moisture influx that might cap temperatures below 31°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 18 мая?
32°C 32%
31°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
$10,663 Объем
$10,663 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
25%
32°C
32%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 32%
31°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
$10,663 Объем
$10,663 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
25%
32°C
32%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRecent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional model ensembles point to a daytime maximum in Taipei of 31–32°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong solar heating. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat. Ensemble spread and afternoon convection potential create the tight contest between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while urban heat-island effects around the official Songshan station could nudge the recorded peak slightly higher. Traders are monitoring the final pre-dawn model runs and any last-minute moisture influx that might cap temperatures below 31°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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