Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing the market-implied probability for a 35°C or higher maximum in Tel Aviv on May 17 to 99.9%. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation are expected to drive rapid surface warming well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28°C, following cooler readings near 24–25°C on May 15–16. Official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak for resolution. A sudden strengthening of onshore winds or an earlier-than-expected model shift could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current data consensus leaves little room for such outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 17 мая?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,099 Объем
$71,099 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,099 Объем
$71,099 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing the market-implied probability for a 35°C or higher maximum in Tel Aviv on May 17 to 99.9%. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation are expected to drive rapid surface warming well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28°C, following cooler readings near 24–25°C on May 15–16. Official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak for resolution. A sudden strengthening of onshore winds or an earlier-than-expected model shift could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current data consensus leaves little room for such outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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