Recent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to a warm southerly flow and mostly clear skies over Tokyo on May 18, supporting afternoon highs that could reach or exceed 28 °C at the official Otemachi station. This setup contrasts with the May climatological average of 22–24 °C, reflecting seasonal warming and a transient ridge of high pressure that limits cloud cover and enhances daytime heating. Trader consensus at 63.5 % for 28 °C or higher incorporates these short-range forecasts while acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2 °C and the possibility of greater marine influence or late-day cloud buildup. Final resolution will hinge on the JMA’s verified maximum temperature observation tomorrow evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 18 мая?
28°C or higher 66%
27°C 26%
26°C 6.5%
25°C 2.1%
$22,044 Объем
$22,044 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
26%
28°C or higher
66%
28°C or higher 66%
27°C 26%
26°C 6.5%
25°C 2.1%
$22,044 Объем
$22,044 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
26%
28°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency model runs and ensemble guidance point to a warm southerly flow and mostly clear skies over Tokyo on May 18, supporting afternoon highs that could reach or exceed 28 °C at the official Otemachi station. This setup contrasts with the May climatological average of 22–24 °C, reflecting seasonal warming and a transient ridge of high pressure that limits cloud cover and enhances daytime heating. Trader consensus at 63.5 % for 28 °C or higher incorporates these short-range forecasts while acknowledging typical model spread of 1–2 °C and the possibility of greater marine influence or late-day cloud buildup. Final resolution will hinge on the JMA’s verified maximum temperature observation tomorrow evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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