Recent model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency highlights a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong afternoon insolation over the Kanto plain, positioning Tokyo for a maximum temperature near or above 28°C on May 18. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Haneda station, where historical records show peaks of 28°C or higher occurring in roughly one-third of late-May days under similar synoptic conditions. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture as the primary variables that could trim the high by 1–2°C. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and hourly observations through tonight will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 18 мая?
28°C or higher 70%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
25°C 1.8%
$15,881 Объем
$15,881 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C or higher
70%
28°C or higher 70%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
25°C 1.8%
$15,881 Объем
$15,881 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C or higher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency highlights a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong afternoon insolation over the Kanto plain, positioning Tokyo for a maximum temperature near or above 28°C on May 18. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Haneda station, where historical records show peaks of 28°C or higher occurring in roughly one-third of late-May days under similar synoptic conditions. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture as the primary variables that could trim the high by 1–2°C. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and hourly observations through tonight will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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