Vice President JD Vance has taken a leading role in U.S. diplomatic efforts with Iran, including heading the American delegation during April 2026 talks in Islamabad that ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations focused on nuclear safeguards and ending hostilities. As of May 13, Vance publicly stated that progress continues despite President Trump rejecting Tehran’s latest proposal, emphasizing the need for verifiable protections against Iranian nuclear weapons. These developments occur amid an ongoing ceasefire and follow months of indirect and direct contacts aimed at de-escalation. Trader sentiment on whether Vance will secure a formal diplomatic meeting by a given date reflects uncertainty over Iran’s willingness to meet U.S. red lines and the timeline for any breakthrough before potential resumption of conflict.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$123,388 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
May 31
9%
June 30
27%
$123,388 Объем
May 31
$50,863 Объем
9%
June 30
$16,687 Объем
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has taken a leading role in U.S. diplomatic efforts with Iran, including heading the American delegation during April 2026 talks in Islamabad that ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations focused on nuclear safeguards and ending hostilities. As of May 13, Vance publicly stated that progress continues despite President Trump rejecting Tehran’s latest proposal, emphasizing the need for verifiable protections against Iranian nuclear weapons. These developments occur amid an ongoing ceasefire and follow months of indirect and direct contacts aimed at de-escalation. Trader sentiment on whether Vance will secure a formal diplomatic meeting by a given date reflects uncertainty over Iran’s willingness to meet U.S. red lines and the timeline for any breakthrough before potential resumption of conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Объем
$123,388Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has taken a leading role in U.S. diplomatic efforts with Iran, including heading the American delegation during April 2026 talks in Islamabad that ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations focused on nuclear safeguards and ending hostilities. As of May 13, Vance publicly stated that progress continues despite President Trump rejecting Tehran’s latest proposal, emphasizing the need for verifiable protections against Iranian nuclear weapons. These developments occur amid an ongoing ceasefire and follow months of indirect and direct contacts aimed at de-escalation. Trader sentiment on whether Vance will secure a formal diplomatic meeting by a given date reflects uncertainty over Iran’s willingness to meet U.S. red lines and the timeline for any breakthrough before potential resumption of conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$123,388Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has taken a leading role in U.S. diplomatic efforts with Iran, including heading the American delegation during April 2026 talks in Islamabad that ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations focused on nuclear safeguards and ending hostilities. As of May 13, Vance publicly stated that progress continues despite President Trump rejecting Tehran’s latest proposal, emphasizing the need for verifiable protections against Iranian nuclear weapons. These developments occur amid an ongoing ceasefire and follow months of indirect and direct contacts aimed at de-escalation. Trader sentiment on whether Vance will secure a formal diplomatic meeting by a given date reflects uncertainty over Iran’s willingness to meet U.S. red lines and the timeline for any breakthrough before potential resumption of conflict.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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