Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on an overnight minimum near 10 °C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, anchoring the market’s 97.9 % implied probability for the 10 °C outcome. This guidance reflects a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling, with limited advection of cooler maritime air and surface observations consistent with typical May climatology of 9–11 °C for the Paris basin. Model spread remains narrow, supporting trader consensus that real capital has priced in stable conditions through the final hours. An unexpected frontal passage or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still shift readings into the 9 °C or 11 °C brackets before official verification at 12:00 UTC.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 17 мая?
10°C 100.0%
2°C или ниже <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$12,245 Объем
$12,245 Объем
2°C или ниже
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C или выше
<1%
10°C 100.0%
2°C или ниже <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$12,245 Объем
$12,245 Объем
2°C или ниже
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBLatest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on an overnight minimum near 10 °C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, anchoring the market’s 97.9 % implied probability for the 10 °C outcome. This guidance reflects a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling, with limited advection of cooler maritime air and surface observations consistent with typical May climatology of 9–11 °C for the Paris basin. Model spread remains narrow, supporting trader consensus that real capital has priced in stable conditions through the final hours. An unexpected frontal passage or enhanced nocturnal cooling could still shift readings into the 9 °C or 11 °C brackets before official verification at 12:00 UTC.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы