The People's Bank of China held its benchmark one-year and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.00% and 3.50% respectively on September 20, marking the 16th consecutive month without adjustment, in line with all surveyed economist expectations. This decision reflects limited room for further easing given banks' narrow net interest margins, resilient export performance supported by external demand, and a widening policy gap with the U.S. Federal Reserve's recent tightening. Slower loan growth has been described by PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng as the "new normal." With the monthly LPR fixing cycle just completed and no additional policy meetings or data releases scheduled before September 30, traders assign overwhelming probability to no change. An unanticipated emergency announcement driven by sharp deterioration in domestic indicators remains the primary, though low-likelihood, scenario that could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБез изменений 98.8%
Снижение <1%
Повышение <1%
$55,085 Объем
$55,085 Объем
Повышение
<1%
Без изменений
99%
Снижение
1%
Без изменений 98.8%
Снижение <1%
Повышение <1%
$55,085 Объем
$55,085 Объем
Повышение
<1%
Без изменений
99%
Снижение
1%
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China held its benchmark one-year and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.00% and 3.50% respectively on September 20, marking the 16th consecutive month without adjustment, in line with all surveyed economist expectations. This decision reflects limited room for further easing given banks' narrow net interest margins, resilient export performance supported by external demand, and a widening policy gap with the U.S. Federal Reserve's recent tightening. Slower loan growth has been described by PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng as the "new normal." With the monthly LPR fixing cycle just completed and no additional policy meetings or data releases scheduled before September 30, traders assign overwhelming probability to no change. An unanticipated emergency announcement driven by sharp deterioration in domestic indicators remains the primary, though low-likelihood, scenario that could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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