Recent sharp declines in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index reflect elevated energy costs and geopolitical pressures. The preliminary September 2026 reading fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, driven by a resurgence in gasoline prices and ongoing trade tensions that pushed one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Expectations for personal finances and business conditions deteriorated markedly, with the expectations sub-index dropping 11.1% month-over-month. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 46.0–48.9 range ahead of the final September release on September 25, consistent with the preliminary print and sustained affordability concerns amid broader uncertainty over monetary policy and consumer spending.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено46,0 до 48,9 75%
От 43,0 до 45,9 21%
<43,0 2.9%
От 49,0 до 51,9 2.9%
$10,861 Объем
$10,861 Объем
25 сент. 2026 г.
<43,0
3%
От 43,0 до 45,9
21%
46,0 до 48,9
75%
От 49,0 до 51,9
3%
52,0–54,9
<1%
55,0–57,9
3%
58,0+
<1%
46,0 до 48,9 75%
От 43,0 до 45,9 21%
<43,0 2.9%
От 49,0 до 51,9 2.9%
$10,861 Объем
$10,861 Объем
25 сент. 2026 г.
<43,0
$755 Объем
3%
От 43,0 до 45,9
$1,575 Объем
21%
46,0 до 48,9
$5,784 Объем
75%
От 49,0 до 51,9
$595 Объем
3%
52,0–54,9
$470 Объем
<1%
55,0–57,9
$1,238 Объем
3%
58,0+
$442 Объем
<1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent sharp declines in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index reflect elevated energy costs and geopolitical pressures. The preliminary September 2026 reading fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, driven by a resurgence in gasoline prices and ongoing trade tensions that pushed one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Expectations for personal finances and business conditions deteriorated markedly, with the expectations sub-index dropping 11.1% month-over-month. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 46.0–48.9 range ahead of the final September release on September 25, consistent with the preliminary print and sustained affordability concerns amid broader uncertainty over monetary policy and consumer spending.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Объем
$10,861Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent sharp declines in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index reflect elevated energy costs and geopolitical pressures. The preliminary September 2026 reading fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, driven by a resurgence in gasoline prices and ongoing trade tensions that pushed one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Expectations for personal finances and business conditions deteriorated markedly, with the expectations sub-index dropping 11.1% month-over-month. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 46.0–48.9 range ahead of the final September release on September 25, consistent with the preliminary print and sustained affordability concerns amid broader uncertainty over monetary policy and consumer spending.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$10,861Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent sharp declines in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index reflect elevated energy costs and geopolitical pressures. The preliminary September 2026 reading fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, driven by a resurgence in gasoline prices and ongoing trade tensions that pushed one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Expectations for personal finances and business conditions deteriorated markedly, with the expectations sub-index dropping 11.1% month-over-month. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 46.0–48.9 range ahead of the final September release on September 25, consistent with the preliminary print and sustained affordability concerns amid broader uncertainty over monetary policy and consumer spending.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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