Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations over Iran's nuclear program remain stalled following the February 2026 conflict and subsequent two-week ceasefire, with core disagreements centering on uranium enrichment limits, the fate of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and verification measures. Iran has advanced phased counterproposals that prioritize ending hostilities and sanctions relief before addressing nuclear concessions, while U.S. demands seek permanent curbs exceeding the 2015 JCPOA framework. Recent talks in Islamabad yielded limited progress on non-nuclear issues but no alignment on enrichment rights, leaving traders with a 77% implied probability against a comprehensive deal resolving by June 30 amid persistent gaps and uncertain timelines for further rounds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЯдерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?
Ядерная сделка между США и Ираном к 30 июня?
Да
$1,859,490 Объем
$1,859,490 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$1,859,490 Объем
$1,859,490 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations over Iran's nuclear program remain stalled following the February 2026 conflict and subsequent two-week ceasefire, with core disagreements centering on uranium enrichment limits, the fate of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and verification measures. Iran has advanced phased counterproposals that prioritize ending hostilities and sanctions relief before addressing nuclear concessions, while U.S. demands seek permanent curbs exceeding the 2015 JCPOA framework. Recent talks in Islamabad yielded limited progress on non-nuclear issues but no alignment on enrichment rights, leaving traders with a 77% implied probability against a comprehensive deal resolving by June 30 amid persistent gaps and uncertain timelines for further rounds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Объем
$1,859,490Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations over Iran's nuclear program remain stalled following the February 2026 conflict and subsequent two-week ceasefire, with core disagreements centering on uranium enrichment limits, the fate of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and verification measures. Iran has advanced phased counterproposals that prioritize ending hostilities and sanctions relief before addressing nuclear concessions, while U.S. demands seek permanent curbs exceeding the 2015 JCPOA framework. Recent talks in Islamabad yielded limited progress on non-nuclear issues but no alignment on enrichment rights, leaving traders with a 77% implied probability against a comprehensive deal resolving by June 30 amid persistent gaps and uncertain timelines for further rounds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$1,859,490Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations over Iran's nuclear program remain stalled following the February 2026 conflict and subsequent two-week ceasefire, with core disagreements centering on uranium enrichment limits, the fate of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and verification measures. Iran has advanced phased counterproposals that prioritize ending hostilities and sanctions relief before addressing nuclear concessions, while U.S. demands seek permanent curbs exceeding the 2015 JCPOA framework. Recent talks in Islamabad yielded limited progress on non-nuclear issues but no alignment on enrichment rights, leaving traders with a 77% implied probability against a comprehensive deal resolving by June 30 amid persistent gaps and uncertain timelines for further rounds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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