Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on May 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 13?
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$151,890 ปริมาณ
$151,890 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$151,890 ปริมาณ
$151,890 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
32°C or below
$33,598 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$24,962 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$17,949 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$14,671 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$9,865 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$17,210 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$10,117 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$4,240 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$4,890 ปริมาณ
No
41°C
$6,719 ปริมาณ
No
42°C or higher
$7,668 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$151,890วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$151,890วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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