Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and an active monsoon trough, continues to drive extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Lucknow through late August, limiting daytime heating. Official IMD and multiple model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50–70% rain probability, aligning with recent observations of highs around 33–34°C under similar conditions. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the modest 20.5% on 33°C or higher reflects limited scope for brief clearing or reduced rainfall to allow stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus from NHC-analog monsoon dynamics and short-range model runs showing suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
32°C 53%
31°C 22%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
22%
32°C
53%
33°C or higher
21%
32°C 53%
31°C 22%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$392 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$392 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$392 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$236 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$182 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$135 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$116 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$428 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$300 ปริมาณ
22%
32°C
$788 ปริมาณ
53%
33°C or higher
$313 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and an active monsoon trough, continues to drive extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Lucknow through late August, limiting daytime heating. Official IMD and multiple model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50–70% rain probability, aligning with recent observations of highs around 33–34°C under similar conditions. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the modest 20.5% on 33°C or higher reflects limited scope for brief clearing or reduced rainfall to allow stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus from NHC-analog monsoon dynamics and short-range model runs showing suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,674วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and an active monsoon trough, continues to drive extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Lucknow through late August, limiting daytime heating. Official IMD and multiple model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50–70% rain probability, aligning with recent observations of highs around 33–34°C under similar conditions. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the modest 20.5% on 33°C or higher reflects limited scope for brief clearing or reduced rainfall to allow stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus from NHC-analog monsoon dynamics and short-range model runs showing suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,674วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and an active monsoon trough, continues to drive extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Lucknow through late August, limiting daytime heating. Official IMD and multiple model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50–70% rain probability, aligning with recent observations of highs around 33–34°C under similar conditions. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the modest 20.5% on 33°C or higher reflects limited scope for brief clearing or reduced rainfall to allow stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus from NHC-analog monsoon dynamics and short-range model runs showing suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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