The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 14?
39°C or below 92%
40°C 4.8%
41°C 1.3%
42°C <1%
ใหม่
$18,010 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,010 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
39°C or below
92%
40°C
5%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
39°C or below 92%
40°C 4.8%
41°C 1.3%
42°C <1%
ใหม่
$18,010 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,010 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
39°C or below
$3,009 ปริมาณ
92%
40°C
$1,886 ปริมาณ
5%
41°C
$2,128 ปริมาณ
1%
42°C
$1,273 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C
$2,123 ปริมาณ
<1%
44°C
$1,546 ปริมาณ
<1%
45°C
$669 ปริมาณ
<1%
46°C
$827 ปริมาณ
<1%
47°C
$1,006 ปริมาณ
<1%
48°C
$2,512 ปริมาณ
<1%
49°C or higher
$1,055 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,010วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,010วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s forecast issued May 13 projects a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 14 under mainly clear skies becoming fully clear, with minimums around 27°C, anchoring trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability for 39°C or below. This reflects stable pre-monsoon conditions following above-normal early May rainfall that has tempered heat across Uttar Pradesh, avoiding heatwave thresholds (40°C+ for plains). Recent daily highs have hovered near 36-38°C per IMD data, with model consensus showing low intensification risk absent dry northerly winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected high-pressure reinforcement boosting solar heating or station-specific variances at Lucknow Airport, though short-range forecast accuracy exceeds 90% this near resolution. Official measurement tomorrow will settle the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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