India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance, forecasting a maximum temperature around 39°C in Lucknow on May 15 amid mainly clear skies and dry conditions, underpins the 92% trader consensus for 41°C or below. This positioning reflects recent observations of 38.1°C on May 13—suppressed by early May rainfall surges—and ongoing stabilization without heatwave declarations until May 16. Seasonal climatology supports this, with mid-May highs typically 39–40°C based on historical airport data. While model consensus shows low intensification risk, realistic challenges include sudden northerly winds enhancing subsidence or urban heat effects, potentially exceeding 41°C; updated IMD bulletins later today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 93%
42°C 4.7%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
ใหม่
$12,140 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,140 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
41°C or below
93%
42°C
5%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 93%
42°C 4.7%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
ใหม่
$12,140 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,140 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
41°C or below
$1,039 ปริมาณ
93%
42°C
$662 ปริมาณ
5%
43°C
$1,339 ปริมาณ
1%
44°C
$819 ปริมาณ
1%
45°C
$956 ปริมาณ
<1%
46°C
$1,537 ปริมาณ
<1%
47°C
$1,743 ปริมาณ
<1%
48°C
$2,041 ปริมาณ
<1%
49°C
$570 ปริมาณ
<1%
50°C
$695 ปริมาณ
<1%
51°C or higher
$797 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance, forecasting a maximum temperature around 39°C in Lucknow on May 15 amid mainly clear skies and dry conditions, underpins the 92% trader consensus for 41°C or below. This positioning reflects recent observations of 38.1°C on May 13—suppressed by early May rainfall surges—and ongoing stabilization without heatwave declarations until May 16. Seasonal climatology supports this, with mid-May highs typically 39–40°C based on historical airport data. While model consensus shows low intensification risk, realistic challenges include sudden northerly winds enhancing subsidence or urban heat effects, potentially exceeding 41°C; updated IMD bulletins later today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,140วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance, forecasting a maximum temperature around 39°C in Lucknow on May 15 amid mainly clear skies and dry conditions, underpins the 92% trader consensus for 41°C or below. This positioning reflects recent observations of 38.1°C on May 13—suppressed by early May rainfall surges—and ongoing stabilization without heatwave declarations until May 16. Seasonal climatology supports this, with mid-May highs typically 39–40°C based on historical airport data. While model consensus shows low intensification risk, realistic challenges include sudden northerly winds enhancing subsidence or urban heat effects, potentially exceeding 41°C; updated IMD bulletins later today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,140วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance, forecasting a maximum temperature around 39°C in Lucknow on May 15 amid mainly clear skies and dry conditions, underpins the 92% trader consensus for 41°C or below. This positioning reflects recent observations of 38.1°C on May 13—suppressed by early May rainfall surges—and ongoing stabilization without heatwave declarations until May 16. Seasonal climatology supports this, with mid-May highs typically 39–40°C based on historical airport data. While model consensus shows low intensification risk, realistic challenges include sudden northerly winds enhancing subsidence or urban heat effects, potentially exceeding 41°C; updated IMD bulletins later today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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