Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the official Otemachi station, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge that promotes southerly warm advection and abundant afternoon solar insolation. Ensemble model runs cluster tightly in this range, with minor spreads arising from variable low-level humidity and possible thin afternoon cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by roughly 1 °C. These conditions align with May climatology yet reflect the current synoptic setup favoring daytime heating without significant frontal interference. Traders’ narrow spread between 28 °C and 29 °C therefore captures genuine uncertainty over exact insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture, while the modest probability on 30 °C or higher reflects the limited upside if skies clear more than anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
29°C 42%
28°C 35%
30°C or higher 22%
27°C 7.3%
ใหม่
$48,546 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$48,546 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
35%
29°C
42%
30°C or higher
22%
29°C 42%
28°C 35%
30°C or higher 22%
27°C 7.3%
ใหม่
$48,546 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$48,546 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$2,924 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,793 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$819 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$5,184 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$8,314 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$7,128 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$7,205 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$4,736 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$3,681 ปริมาณ
35%
29°C
$3,028 ปริมาณ
42%
30°C or higher
$5,071 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the official Otemachi station, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge that promotes southerly warm advection and abundant afternoon solar insolation. Ensemble model runs cluster tightly in this range, with minor spreads arising from variable low-level humidity and possible thin afternoon cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by roughly 1 °C. These conditions align with May climatology yet reflect the current synoptic setup favoring daytime heating without significant frontal interference. Traders’ narrow spread between 28 °C and 29 °C therefore captures genuine uncertainty over exact insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture, while the modest probability on 30 °C or higher reflects the limited upside if skies clear more than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,546วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the official Otemachi station, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge that promotes southerly warm advection and abundant afternoon solar insolation. Ensemble model runs cluster tightly in this range, with minor spreads arising from variable low-level humidity and possible thin afternoon cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by roughly 1 °C. These conditions align with May climatology yet reflect the current synoptic setup favoring daytime heating without significant frontal interference. Traders’ narrow spread between 28 °C and 29 °C therefore captures genuine uncertainty over exact insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture, while the modest probability on 30 °C or higher reflects the limited upside if skies clear more than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,546วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the official Otemachi station, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge that promotes southerly warm advection and abundant afternoon solar insolation. Ensemble model runs cluster tightly in this range, with minor spreads arising from variable low-level humidity and possible thin afternoon cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by roughly 1 °C. These conditions align with May climatology yet reflect the current synoptic setup favoring daytime heating without significant frontal interference. Traders’ narrow spread between 28 °C and 29 °C therefore captures genuine uncertainty over exact insolation timing and boundary-layer moisture, while the modest probability on 30 °C or higher reflects the limited upside if skies clear more than anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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