Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan lack the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes out of 113 needed to advance impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te, with the KMT and TPP holding roughly 60 seats combined. This structural shortfall, unchanged since the motion passed its initial stage in December 2025, underpins trader consensus that no impeachment will occur by June 30. Recent hearings and the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote have advanced the process symbolically but produced no shift in seat counts or cross-party support. Even if the motion cleared the legislature, referral to the Constitutional Court would require additional time and judicial consensus that historical patterns suggest is unlikely within the narrow window. No major defections, new allegations, or procedural changes have emerged to alter these dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$618,958 ปริมาณ
$618,958 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$618,958 ปริมาณ
$618,958 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan lack the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes out of 113 needed to advance impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te, with the KMT and TPP holding roughly 60 seats combined. This structural shortfall, unchanged since the motion passed its initial stage in December 2025, underpins trader consensus that no impeachment will occur by June 30. Recent hearings and the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote have advanced the process symbolically but produced no shift in seat counts or cross-party support. Even if the motion cleared the legislature, referral to the Constitutional Court would require additional time and judicial consensus that historical patterns suggest is unlikely within the narrow window. No major defections, new allegations, or procedural changes have emerged to alter these dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
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$618,958วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan lack the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes out of 113 needed to advance impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te, with the KMT and TPP holding roughly 60 seats combined. This structural shortfall, unchanged since the motion passed its initial stage in December 2025, underpins trader consensus that no impeachment will occur by June 30. Recent hearings and the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote have advanced the process symbolically but produced no shift in seat counts or cross-party support. Even if the motion cleared the legislature, referral to the Constitutional Court would require additional time and judicial consensus that historical patterns suggest is unlikely within the narrow window. No major defections, new allegations, or procedural changes have emerged to alter these dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$618,958วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan lack the two-thirds supermajority of 76 votes out of 113 needed to advance impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te, with the KMT and TPP holding roughly 60 seats combined. This structural shortfall, unchanged since the motion passed its initial stage in December 2025, underpins trader consensus that no impeachment will occur by June 30. Recent hearings and the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote have advanced the process symbolically but produced no shift in seat counts or cross-party support. Even if the motion cleared the legislature, referral to the Constitutional Court would require additional time and judicial consensus that historical patterns suggest is unlikely within the narrow window. No major defections, new allegations, or procedural changes have emerged to alter these dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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