National Weather Service forecast guidance and real-time observations at Miami International Airport point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F tonight, reflecting the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bracket. Persistent subtropical high pressure over South Florida is suppressing radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures in the upper 70s maintain a warm boundary layer, consistent with mid-May climatology that places typical overnight lows between 72°F and 76°F. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF shows only modest nocturnal drops under light southerly flow, with no fronts or dry-air intrusions expected before sunrise. A late-evening wind shift or unforecast clear-sky enhancement could still nudge readings into the upper 60s, though such deviations remain low-probability outliers given current conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
72-73°F 99.7%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$26,152 Vol.
$26,152 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
100%
72-73°F 99.7%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$26,152 Vol.
$26,152 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast guidance and real-time observations at Miami International Airport point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F tonight, reflecting the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bracket. Persistent subtropical high pressure over South Florida is suppressing radiational cooling while sea-surface temperatures in the upper 70s maintain a warm boundary layer, consistent with mid-May climatology that places typical overnight lows between 72°F and 76°F. Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF shows only modest nocturnal drops under light southerly flow, with no fronts or dry-air intrusions expected before sunrise. A late-evening wind shift or unforecast clear-sky enhancement could still nudge readings into the upper 60s, though such deviations remain low-probability outliers given current conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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