**Proposition 40, the one-time 5% wealth tax on California residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting sufficient signatures.** Trader skepticism reflected in the 72.5% "No" odds stems primarily from Governor Gavin Newsom's vocal opposition, divisions among Democrats and labor groups, and the presence of competing ballot measures such as Proposition 42 that could nullify it if they receive more votes. Earlier 2026 polls showed narrow or mixed support with significant undecided voters, while legal analyses highlight constitutional risks around retroactivity, valuation, and residency rules. Reports of billionaire departures ahead of the eligibility cutoff have also raised doubts about projected revenue and long-term fiscal impacts, shaping the current trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
28% шанс
$3,665,931 Обс.
$3,665,931 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Так
28% шанс
$3,665,931 Обс.
$3,665,931 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Proposition 40, the one-time 5% wealth tax on California residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting sufficient signatures.** Trader skepticism reflected in the 72.5% "No" odds stems primarily from Governor Gavin Newsom's vocal opposition, divisions among Democrats and labor groups, and the presence of competing ballot measures such as Proposition 42 that could nullify it if they receive more votes. Earlier 2026 polls showed narrow or mixed support with significant undecided voters, while legal analyses highlight constitutional risks around retroactivity, valuation, and residency rules. Reports of billionaire departures ahead of the eligibility cutoff have also raised doubts about projected revenue and long-term fiscal impacts, shaping the current trader consensus.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,665,931Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Proposition 40, the one-time 5% wealth tax on California residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting sufficient signatures.** Trader skepticism reflected in the 72.5% "No" odds stems primarily from Governor Gavin Newsom's vocal opposition, divisions among Democrats and labor groups, and the presence of competing ballot measures such as Proposition 42 that could nullify it if they receive more votes. Earlier 2026 polls showed narrow or mixed support with significant undecided voters, while legal analyses highlight constitutional risks around retroactivity, valuation, and residency rules. Reports of billionaire departures ahead of the eligibility cutoff have also raised doubts about projected revenue and long-term fiscal impacts, shaping the current trader consensus.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3,665,931Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Proposition 40, the one-time 5% wealth tax on California residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting sufficient signatures.** Trader skepticism reflected in the 72.5% "No" odds stems primarily from Governor Gavin Newsom's vocal opposition, divisions among Democrats and labor groups, and the presence of competing ballot measures such as Proposition 42 that could nullify it if they receive more votes. Earlier 2026 polls showed narrow or mixed support with significant undecided voters, while legal analyses highlight constitutional risks around retroactivity, valuation, and residency rules. Reports of billionaire departures ahead of the eligibility cutoff have also raised doubts about projected revenue and long-term fiscal impacts, shaping the current trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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