Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a Seoul high near 31°C on May 14 under persistent clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 27°C or higher at 38% implied probability, up from cooler early-May readings like 21°C on May 12. This warming stems from a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating and minimal cloud cover, contrasting May climatology averages of 22-23°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or subtle northerly airflow that could cap peaks at 25-26°C, as reflected in the tight 25-28% odds for those outcomes. Model ensembles show variability, with KMA updates expected through evening resolving near-term uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
27°C or higher 38.4%
26°C 28%
25°C 24%
24°C 4.5%
НОВЕ
$113,854 Обс.
НОВЕ
$113,854 Обс.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
24%
26°C
28%
27°C or higher
38%
27°C or higher 38.4%
26°C 28%
25°C 24%
24°C 4.5%
НОВЕ
$113,854 Обс.
НОВЕ
$113,854 Обс.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
$13,073 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$6,684 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$6,006 Обс.
1%
20°C
$6,339 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$11,702 Обс.
1%
22°C
$20,942 Обс.
2%
23°C
$14,168 Обс.
2%
24°C
$12,026 Обс.
5%
25°C
$4,437 Обс.
24%
26°C
$4,542 Обс.
28%
27°C or higher
$14,037 Обс.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a Seoul high near 31°C on May 14 under persistent clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 27°C or higher at 38% implied probability, up from cooler early-May readings like 21°C on May 12. This warming stems from a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating and minimal cloud cover, contrasting May climatology averages of 22-23°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or subtle northerly airflow that could cap peaks at 25-26°C, as reflected in the tight 25-28% odds for those outcomes. Model ensembles show variability, with KMA updates expected through evening resolving near-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$113,854Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a Seoul high near 31°C on May 14 under persistent clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 27°C or higher at 38% implied probability, up from cooler early-May readings like 21°C on May 12. This warming stems from a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating and minimal cloud cover, contrasting May climatology averages of 22-23°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or subtle northerly airflow that could cap peaks at 25-26°C, as reflected in the tight 25-28% odds for those outcomes. Model ensembles show variability, with KMA updates expected through evening resolving near-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$113,854Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a Seoul high near 31°C on May 14 under persistent clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward 27°C or higher at 38% implied probability, up from cooler early-May readings like 21°C on May 12. This warming stems from a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar heating and minimal cloud cover, contrasting May climatology averages of 22-23°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or subtle northerly airflow that could cap peaks at 25-26°C, as reflected in the tight 25-28% odds for those outcomes. Model ensembles show variability, with KMA updates expected through evening resolving near-term uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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