Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
27°C 31%
28°C 27%
26°C 20.1%
29°C 16%
НОВЕ
$17,862 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,862 Обс.
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
20%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 31%
28°C 27%
26°C 20.1%
29°C 16%
НОВЕ
$17,862 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,862 Обс.
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
$2,053 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,524 Обс.
1%
25°C
$1,024 Обс.
12%
26°C
$438 Обс.
20%
27°C
$656 Обс.
31%
28°C
$1,508 Обс.
27%
29°C
$2,820 Обс.
16%
30°C
$2,165 Обс.
2%
31°C
$2,452 Обс.
1%
32°C
$1,593 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,665 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,862Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$17,862Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 27°C high in Wuhan at Tianhe International Airport on May 14 (34% implied probability), edging out 28°C (25%) and 26°C (20%), driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), GFS, and ECMWF models amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity capping daytime heating. Recent observations show volatility—May 11 peaked near 31°C under clearer skies, but May 12-13 brought overcast conditions and dewpoints near 20°C, suppressing peaks to 26-27°C range consistent with mid-May climatology (average highs 26-28°C). Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation for 28°C+ versus sustained stratus for 26°C; new CMA updates and ensemble runs expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution tomorrow.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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