Illinois’s solidly Democratic electorate and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin’s retirement have positioned Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton as the heavy favorite to win the U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with strong establishment backing, including from Governor J.B. Pritzker, and faces former state Republican Party chair Don Tracy, who won a fragmented GOP primary but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide name recognition. Illinois has not elected a Republican senator since 1978, and recent forecasts project Stratton capturing roughly 60 percent of the vote. The roughly 97 percent trader consensus reflects these structural and resource imbalances. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the final months before the election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$31,066 Обс.
$31,066 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
97%
Don Tracy (R)
3%
$31,066 Обс.
$31,066 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$16,617 Обс.
97%
Don Tracy (R)
$14,449 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois’s solidly Democratic electorate and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin’s retirement have positioned Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton as the heavy favorite to win the U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with strong establishment backing, including from Governor J.B. Pritzker, and faces former state Republican Party chair Don Tracy, who won a fragmented GOP primary but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide name recognition. Illinois has not elected a Republican senator since 1978, and recent forecasts project Stratton capturing roughly 60 percent of the vote. The roughly 97 percent trader consensus reflects these structural and resource imbalances. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the final months before the election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,066Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois’s solidly Democratic electorate and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin’s retirement have positioned Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton as the heavy favorite to win the U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with strong establishment backing, including from Governor J.B. Pritzker, and faces former state Republican Party chair Don Tracy, who won a fragmented GOP primary but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide name recognition. Illinois has not elected a Republican senator since 1978, and recent forecasts project Stratton capturing roughly 60 percent of the vote. The roughly 97 percent trader consensus reflects these structural and resource imbalances. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the final months before the election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$31,066Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois’s solidly Democratic electorate and the open-seat dynamics following Dick Durbin’s retirement have positioned Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton as the heavy favorite to win the U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with strong establishment backing, including from Governor J.B. Pritzker, and faces former state Republican Party chair Don Tracy, who won a fragmented GOP primary but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide name recognition. Illinois has not elected a Republican senator since 1978, and recent forecasts project Stratton capturing roughly 60 percent of the vote. The roughly 97 percent trader consensus reflects these structural and resource imbalances. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the final months before the election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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