Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 to D+42 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from her primary with limited resources. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96% for Bonamici aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major developments. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-cycle national political swings, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$27,452 Обс.
$27,452 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
96%
Barbara Kahl (R)
3%
$27,452 Обс.
$27,452 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
$10,566 Обс.
96%
Barbara Kahl (R)
$16,887 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 to D+42 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from her primary with limited resources. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96% for Bonamici aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major developments. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-cycle national political swings, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,452Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 to D+42 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from her primary with limited resources. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96% for Bonamici aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major developments. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-cycle national political swings, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$27,452Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 to D+42 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from her primary with limited resources. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 96% for Bonamici aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major developments. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-cycle national political swings, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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