Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJorginho Mello 87%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 5.3%
João Rodrigues 4.9%
Gelson Merisio <1%
$87,721 Обс.
$87,721 Обс.
Jorginho Mello
87%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
5%
João Rodrigues
5%
Gelson Merisio
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Adriano Silva
<1%
Jorginho Mello 87%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 5.3%
João Rodrigues 4.9%
Gelson Merisio <1%
$87,721 Обс.
$87,721 Обс.
Jorginho Mello
$6,569 Обс.
87%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$14,083 Обс.
5%
João Rodrigues
$1,096 Обс.
5%
Gelson Merisio
$994 Обс.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$907 Обс.
<1%
Marcos Vieira
$923 Обс.
<1%
Décio Lima
$62,571 Обс.
<1%
Adriano Silva
$579 Обс.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Обсяг
$87,721Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$87,721Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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