The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April 2026 decision to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth and inflation underpins the 97% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to assess the impact of higher oil prices on the April CPI reading of 2.6% year-over-year, which exceeds the 2% target yet aligns with prior projections, while first-quarter GDP growth remains supported near 1.7% by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling consideration of future rate hikes have not shifted trader consensus, given the institution’s data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of a hike before the next policy meeting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 97.2%
Increase 2.9%
Decrease <1%
$104,152 KL.
$104,152 KL.
May 28, 2026
Decrease
<1%
No Change
97%
Increase
3%
No Change 97.2%
Increase 2.9%
Decrease <1%
$104,152 KL.
$104,152 KL.
May 28, 2026
Decrease
$46,308 KL.
<1%
No Change
$37,282 KL.
97%
Increase
$20,562 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April 2026 decision to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth and inflation underpins the 97% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to assess the impact of higher oil prices on the April CPI reading of 2.6% year-over-year, which exceeds the 2% target yet aligns with prior projections, while first-quarter GDP growth remains supported near 1.7% by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling consideration of future rate hikes have not shifted trader consensus, given the institution’s data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of a hike before the next policy meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$104,152Ngày kết thúc
May 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April 2026 decision to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth and inflation underpins the 97% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to assess the impact of higher oil prices on the April CPI reading of 2.6% year-over-year, which exceeds the 2% target yet aligns with prior projections, while first-quarter GDP growth remains supported near 1.7% by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling consideration of future rate hikes have not shifted trader consensus, given the institution’s data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of a hike before the next policy meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Khối lượng
$104,152Ngày kết thúc
May 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April 2026 decision to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth and inflation underpins the 97% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to assess the impact of higher oil prices on the April CPI reading of 2.6% year-over-year, which exceeds the 2% target yet aligns with prior projections, while first-quarter GDP growth remains supported near 1.7% by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling consideration of future rate hikes have not shifted trader consensus, given the institution’s data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of a hike before the next policy meeting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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