The Bank of Korea’s data-dependent stance and balanced assessment of growth versus inflation risks underpin the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting, following the unanimous hold at 2.50% in April amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties. First-quarter GDP growth near 1.7%, supported by semiconductor exports, combined with April CPI at 2.6% year-over-year—above the 2% target yet aligned with prior forecasts—has left policymakers monitoring oil-price pass-through and financial-market volatility rather than shifting policy. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on considering rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, reflecting the institution’s emphasis on incoming data over forward signals. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly raise the slim probabilities of a hike before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 97.6%
Increase 2.2%
Decrease <1%
$102,956 KL.
$102,956 KL.
May 28, 2026
Decrease
<1%
No Change
98%
Increase
2%
No Change 97.6%
Increase 2.2%
Decrease <1%
$102,956 KL.
$102,956 KL.
May 28, 2026
Decrease
$45,960 KL.
<1%
No Change
$37,077 KL.
98%
Increase
$19,919 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Korea’s data-dependent stance and balanced assessment of growth versus inflation risks underpin the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting, following the unanimous hold at 2.50% in April amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties. First-quarter GDP growth near 1.7%, supported by semiconductor exports, combined with April CPI at 2.6% year-over-year—above the 2% target yet aligned with prior forecasts—has left policymakers monitoring oil-price pass-through and financial-market volatility rather than shifting policy. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on considering rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, reflecting the institution’s emphasis on incoming data over forward signals. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly raise the slim probabilities of a hike before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$102,956Ngày kết thúc
May 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Korea’s data-dependent stance and balanced assessment of growth versus inflation risks underpin the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting, following the unanimous hold at 2.50% in April amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties. First-quarter GDP growth near 1.7%, supported by semiconductor exports, combined with April CPI at 2.6% year-over-year—above the 2% target yet aligned with prior forecasts—has left policymakers monitoring oil-price pass-through and financial-market volatility rather than shifting policy. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on considering rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, reflecting the institution’s emphasis on incoming data over forward signals. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly raise the slim probabilities of a hike before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Khối lượng
$102,956Ngày kết thúc
May 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s data-dependent stance and balanced assessment of growth versus inflation risks underpin the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting, following the unanimous hold at 2.50% in April amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties. First-quarter GDP growth near 1.7%, supported by semiconductor exports, combined with April CPI at 2.6% year-over-year—above the 2% target yet aligned with prior forecasts—has left policymakers monitoring oil-price pass-through and financial-market volatility rather than shifting policy. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on considering rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, reflecting the institution’s emphasis on incoming data over forward signals. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly raise the slim probabilities of a hike before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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