Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 13?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$67,850 KL.
$67,850 KL.
May 13, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$67,850 KL.
$67,850 KL.
May 13, 2026
20°C or below
$1,070 KL.
No
21°C
$887 KL.
No
22°C
$1,002 KL.
No
23°C
$6,274 KL.
No
24°C
$5,721 KL.
No
25°C
$7,151 KL.
No
26°C
$10,802 KL.
Yes
27°C
$6,503 KL.
No
28°C
$7,127 KL.
No
29°C
$10,921 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$10,393 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Khối lượng
$67,850Ngày kết thúc
May 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$67,850Ngày kết thúc
May 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp