Iran’s refusal to accept a complete halt to uranium enrichment remains the dominant factor sustaining the 82% trader consensus against an agreement by June 30. In recent diplomatic exchanges, Tehran has reiterated its red line on domestic enrichment rights while proposing only limited pauses or discussions deferred to later negotiation phases, alongside demands for sanctions relief and security guarantees. As of mid-May, Iranian officials rejected proposals to transfer or dilute existing stockpiles and warned of possible escalation to 90% enrichment levels should military tensions resume. These positions align with historical negotiating patterns in which Iran has preserved core nuclear capabilities despite external pressure, leaving little indication that a binding commitment to end all enrichment activities will materialize before the June deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIran đồng ý chấm dứt làm giàu uranium trước ngày 30 tháng 6?
Iran đồng ý chấm dứt làm giàu uranium trước ngày 30 tháng 6?
Có
$1,381,775 KL.
$1,381,775 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Có
$1,381,775 KL.
$1,381,775 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s refusal to accept a complete halt to uranium enrichment remains the dominant factor sustaining the 82% trader consensus against an agreement by June 30. In recent diplomatic exchanges, Tehran has reiterated its red line on domestic enrichment rights while proposing only limited pauses or discussions deferred to later negotiation phases, alongside demands for sanctions relief and security guarantees. As of mid-May, Iranian officials rejected proposals to transfer or dilute existing stockpiles and warned of possible escalation to 90% enrichment levels should military tensions resume. These positions align with historical negotiating patterns in which Iran has preserved core nuclear capabilities despite external pressure, leaving little indication that a binding commitment to end all enrichment activities will materialize before the June deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,381,775Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s refusal to accept a complete halt to uranium enrichment remains the dominant factor sustaining the 82% trader consensus against an agreement by June 30. In recent diplomatic exchanges, Tehran has reiterated its red line on domestic enrichment rights while proposing only limited pauses or discussions deferred to later negotiation phases, alongside demands for sanctions relief and security guarantees. As of mid-May, Iranian officials rejected proposals to transfer or dilute existing stockpiles and warned of possible escalation to 90% enrichment levels should military tensions resume. These positions align with historical negotiating patterns in which Iran has preserved core nuclear capabilities despite external pressure, leaving little indication that a binding commitment to end all enrichment activities will materialize before the June deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,381,929Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s refusal to accept a complete halt to uranium enrichment remains the dominant factor sustaining the 82% trader consensus against an agreement by June 30. In recent diplomatic exchanges, Tehran has reiterated its red line on domestic enrichment rights while proposing only limited pauses or discussions deferred to later negotiation phases, alongside demands for sanctions relief and security guarantees. As of mid-May, Iranian officials rejected proposals to transfer or dilute existing stockpiles and warned of possible escalation to 90% enrichment levels should military tensions resume. These positions align with historical negotiating patterns in which Iran has preserved core nuclear capabilities despite external pressure, leaving little indication that a binding commitment to end all enrichment activities will materialize before the June deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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